Generative AI
AGI & superintelligence: reasoning, embodiment, alignment, economic transformation
Overview
Development of supervised general AI systems. Advanced reasoning, multimodality, value alignment, and deep economic transformation.
Impact: R&D acceleration +100x, solutions to every science problem, economy +$100T, alignment risks
Roadmap
o1 full release & capabilities locked
Reasoning model deployment complete
First AGI-equivalent benchmark achievements
Multimodal reasoning >90% human level
Embodied AI start deployments
Humanoid robots with AGI-level reasoning
Scientific discovery via AI acceleration
AI discovers breakthrough in fusion, biology, materials
Projects
Active
OpenAI — o1 & GPT Next
Escalating reasoning capabilities. o1 for hard sciences, planning, code debugging.
68% — 2026
DeepMind — Gemini & AlphaProof
Reasoning race with OpenAI. Focus on math, physics, formal verification.
55% — 2025-2026
Anthropic — Constitutional AI & Alignment
Focus on value alignment. Explainability, safety by design, evals framework.
52% — 2026-2027
Meta — Llama & Open-Source AI
Global accessibility through open source. Llama fine-tuning, on-device inference.
62% — 2026-2027
xAI (Elon Musk) — Grok & Reasoning
Real-time information, physics simulation, scientific reasoning capabilities.
45% — 2026