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Inference

To infer is to pass from premises to a conclusion by a rule; the rule is judged on its form, not on the content.

Inference

Inference

Definition

To infer is to pass from accepted propositions — the premises — to a new proposition — the conclusion — by following a rule.

The rule does not look at what is being talked about. It looks only at the form of the linkage.

Valid is not true

These are two distinct judgements, bearing on two distinct objects.

Bears onQuestion asked
ValidityThe form of the argumentDoes the conclusion follow from the premises?
TruthThe content of the propositionsDo the premises describe the world?

"All cats fly; Felix is a cat; therefore Felix flies" is valid and its conclusion false. The form is beyond reproach, the first premise is not.

An argument both valid and with true premises is called sound. Its conclusion is then guaranteed true — that is the whole point of deduction.

Two rules, and their two counterfeits

Take the implication "if PPP then QQQ".

FormPremisesConclusionStatus
Modus ponensP⇒QP \Rightarrow QP⇒Q, and PPPQQQValid
Modus tollensP⇒QP \Rightarrow QP⇒Q, and ¬Q\neg Q¬Q¬P\neg P¬PValid
Affirming the consequentP⇒QP \Rightarrow QP⇒Q, and QQQPPPInvalid
Denying the antecedentP⇒QP \Rightarrow QP⇒Q, and ¬P\neg P¬P¬Q\neg Q¬QInvalid

The last two resemble the first two and are worth nothing. "If it rains, the street is wet; the street is wet; therefore it rains" forgets the sprinkler: an implication does not forbid other causes.

P → Q P Q ✓ P → Q Q P ✗

Three ways of inferring

TypeMovementGuarantee
DeductionFrom general to particularPreserves truth
InductionFrom particular to generalNone — supports without proving
AbductionFrom effect to its best causeNone — proposes, does not prove

Only deduction transmits the truth of the premises to the conclusion. The other two extend it beyond what the premises contain: they produce hypotheses, not theorems.

This difference is not a defect of the latter two. No new knowledge would ever come out of deduction alone, which merely makes explicit what the premises already carried.

What a counterexample refutes

To show that a form is invalid, a single interpretation suffices in which the premises are true and the conclusion false.

It is the same gesture as negating a universal statement: one case is enough, and it bears on the form, never on a particular example of content.

Summary

Validity judges the form, truth judges the content; both are needed to conclude.