Inference
Definition
To infer is to pass from accepted propositions — the premises — to a new proposition — the conclusion — by following a rule.
The rule does not look at what is being talked about. It looks only at the form of the linkage.
Valid is not true
These are two distinct judgements, bearing on two distinct objects.
| Bears on | Question asked | |
|---|---|---|
| Validity | The form of the argument | Does the conclusion follow from the premises? |
| Truth | The content of the propositions | Do the premises describe the world? |
"All cats fly; Felix is a cat; therefore Felix flies" is valid and its conclusion false. The form is beyond reproach, the first premise is not.
An argument both valid and with true premises is called sound. Its conclusion is then guaranteed true — that is the whole point of deduction.
Two rules, and their two counterfeits
Take the implication "if P then Q".
| Form | Premises | Conclusion | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modus ponens | P⇒Q, and P | Q | Valid |
| Modus tollens | P⇒Q, and ¬Q | ¬P | Valid |
| Affirming the consequent | P⇒Q, and Q | P | Invalid |
| Denying the antecedent | P⇒Q, and ¬P | ¬Q | Invalid |
The last two resemble the first two and are worth nothing. "If it rains, the street is wet; the street is wet; therefore it rains" forgets the sprinkler: an implication does not forbid other causes.
Three ways of inferring
| Type | Movement | Guarantee |
|---|---|---|
| Deduction | From general to particular | Preserves truth |
| Induction | From particular to general | None — supports without proving |
| Abduction | From effect to its best cause | None — proposes, does not prove |
Only deduction transmits the truth of the premises to the conclusion. The other two extend it beyond what the premises contain: they produce hypotheses, not theorems.
This difference is not a defect of the latter two. No new knowledge would ever come out of deduction alone, which merely makes explicit what the premises already carried.
What a counterexample refutes
To show that a form is invalid, a single interpretation suffices in which the premises are true and the conclusion false.
It is the same gesture as negating a universal statement: one case is enough, and it bears on the form, never on a particular example of content.
Summary
Validity judges the form, truth judges the content; both are needed to conclude.
